Title: How Reliable are Pandemic Models

Author(s): Harold Thimbleby

Publication Event: Publication of Newsletter Volume 28 Nos 2 - May 2020

Publication Date: 2020-05-14

Resource URL: https://scsc.uk/r3222.pdf

Abstract:

Government policies to manage the COVID-19 pandemic affect the safety, wellbeing and economy of the UK. Public policy decisions are informed from the use pandemic modelling. How reliable are pandemic models? How dependable are the data and the computer programs that underpin them? Professor Harold Thimbleby discusses his concerns on current practices, and presents an urgent call to action to the software safety community to help address the issues he raises.